![]() ![]() While El Niño can't completely prevent hurricanes in the Atlantic, it often serves to limit hurricane formation and reduce hurricane landfalls along the East Coast, giving Florida and other hurricane-prone areas a break. Will it help fuel Earth's hottest year on record?īut this year, forecasters say that may not happen, because of record hot Atlantic water temperatures that would counteract the El Niño winds that normally decapitate many storms. ![]() It occurs, on average, every two to seven years.Įl Niño usually helps to suppress Atlantic hurricane activity, experts say.Įl Niño “tends to lead to an increase in vertical wind shear, which tends to reduce the number of hurricanes in the tropical Atlantic,” said David DeWitt, director of the Climate Prediction Center.Įl Niño is back: NOAA says. Here's what the return of El Niño means for hurricane season and FloridaĮl Niño is a natural climate pattern in which surface sea water temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean are warmer than average. It occurs, on average, every two to seven years. What is El Niño?Įl Niño is a natural climate pattern in which surface sea water temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean are warmer than average. The tropical wave being closely monitored will not approach the Leeward and Windward islands of the eastern Caribbean until later next week, according to AccuWeather.Īs a train of tropical waves move across the Atlantic, there may be some tropical development in waters surrounding Central America and southern Mexico during the third week and fourth week of June, according to AccuWeather.įorecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and to always be prepared. from the tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic but all residents in the Southeast should be prepared. It's too early at this time to determine if there will be any impact to the U.S. June 16: What's out there and where are they? Here's the latest update from the NHC as of 8 p.m. Tropical development historically happens close to North America and Central America in June. "It looks like the road ahead for this tropical wave will be mostly favorable for development, especially in the longer term as it nears the Caribbean," DaSilva said.Įlsewhere in the Atlantic basin, the National Hurricane Center is continuing to monitor three other tropical waves, including one in the Caribbean Sea.ĪccuWeather meteorologists said a disturbance could evolve into an organized tropical system the fourth week of June, moving from the western Caribbean Sea into the Gulf of Mexico.įlorida tornado: Tornado confirmed in Escambia County, one person killed He added that there have been only a half-dozen or fewer tropical systems to develop in the area over the past 25 years in June. ![]() "While it is rare to get a storm to develop over the south-central Atlantic in June, it is not completely unheard of," AccuWeather Tropical Meteorologist Alex DaSilva said. "Only 3 June systems have been named in the tropical Atlantic on record: Trinidad (1933), Ana (1979), and Bret (2017)," according to Colorado State University hurricane forecaster Phil Klotzbach.Ĭoincidentally, if this system does strengthen, it would become Tropical Storm Bret. Tropical development is rare for this time of year in the eastern Atlantic, according to forecasters.Ībnormally warm waters for this time of year in the Atlantic, as well as the absence of Saharan dust in the atmosphere, are factors favoring the development of a tropical cyclone. Friday call for a 70 percent chance for development over the next seven days. Watch Video: Could we see another tropical storm before the end of June?Ĭhances for development of a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic are continuing to increase and the National Hurricane Center is now saying a tropical depression could form by early next week.Ĭhances for development have steadily increased throughout the day Friday. ![]()
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